@sojournfinance

Last updated: Last updated on Tuesday, January 28, 2025 at 7:39am

Indecision Sentiment

Risk: 4.2/10
Risk Image
Sojourn Insight Metrics (SIMs)
RISK ON 📈 Current 1D % 1M % 1Y %
10-Year Treasury Yield4.53%-2.12%+6.02%+10.68%
Gold$2,750.90-0.95%+3.57%+35.83%
2-Year Treasury Yield4.19%-0.40%-1.57%-19.46%
Japanese Yen Exchange Rate¥155.28-0.30%+0.77%+4.82%
Bitcoin USD Exchange Rate$102,704.98+0.02%+9.81%+144.33%
RISK OFF 📉 Current 1D % 1M % 1Y %
VIX17.80+19.87%+31.08%+30.88%
Natural Gas$3.54-12.22%+7.77%+41.97%
S&P 500 ETF$599.37-1.41%-1.00%+23.57%
Russell 2000 ETF$226.50-0.96%-4.46%+14.92%
Crude Oil$74.03-0.84%+3.84%-3.58%
Copper$4.26-0.77%+2.60%+9.91%
Euro Exchange Rate$1.04-0.35%-0.82%-3.81%

Market Sentiment

Market sentiment is mixed with a slightly bearish tone. Short-term analysis indicates a decline in major indices (S&P 500 and Russell 2000) over the past day and month. The VIX, a volatility indicator, has surged 20% in a day and 31% in a month, signaling increased uncertainty. However, mid-term analysis reveals a more optimistic picture. The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 have shown significant gains over the past year (23.57% and 14.92%, respectively). The 10-Year Treasury Yield has risen 10.68% in a year, indicating a strong economy. Commodities like gold and copper have seen mid-term gains, while crude oil and natural gas prices have been mixed. Cryptocurrency (Bitcoin) has surged 144.33% in a year, but its short-term movement is relatively stable. Overall, the market is experiencing short-term volatility but maintains a positive mid-term outlook.

Short-term Analysis

The current risk score of 4.2 indicates moderate risk. The increase in VIX (19.87% 1D, 31.08% 1M) suggests market volatility. Declines in S&P 500 ETF (-1.41% 1D) and Russell 2000 ETF (-0.96% 1D) also indicate short-term market weakness. However, the 10-Year Treasury Yield's drop (-2.12% 1D) may signal a flight to safety, potentially mitigating extreme risk. Overall, caution is advised in the short term due to increased volatility and market declines.

Closing Thoughts

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